The CNN-derived catalog detects over seven times more solar flares than the GOES catalog and extends the power-law distribution of flare peak fluxes to smaller sizes.
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Predictively consistent priors let complex Bayesian models match or beat the out-of-sample performance of selected simpler models across linear, logistic, and nonlinear examples without explicit selection.
MAP4TS combines global, local, statistical, and temporal prompts derived from classical time-series analysis with raw embeddings via cross-modality alignment to improve LLM forecasting performance across eight datasets.
citing papers explorer
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A Convolutional Neural Network-Derived Catalog of Solar Flares from Soft X-Ray Observations
The CNN-derived catalog detects over seven times more solar flares than the GOES catalog and extends the power-law distribution of flare peak fluxes to smaller sizes.
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To select or not to select: predictively consistent priors instead of model selection
Predictively consistent priors let complex Bayesian models match or beat the out-of-sample performance of selected simpler models across linear, logistic, and nonlinear examples without explicit selection.
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MAP4TS: A Multi-Aspect Prompting Framework for Time-Series Forecasting with Large Language Models
MAP4TS combines global, local, statistical, and temporal prompts derived from classical time-series analysis with raw embeddings via cross-modality alignment to improve LLM forecasting performance across eight datasets.