QuantWeather is an end-to-end dual-head neural network that produces calibrated quantile-based probabilistic forecasts for subseasonal precipitation, achieving higher skill and lower inference cost than ensemble methods requiring post-hoc calibration.
The ERA5 Global Reanalysis.Quarterly journal of the royal meteorological society, 146:1999–2049
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QuantWeather: Quantile-Aware Probabilistic Forecasting for Subseasonal Precipitation
QuantWeather is an end-to-end dual-head neural network that produces calibrated quantile-based probabilistic forecasts for subseasonal precipitation, achieving higher skill and lower inference cost than ensemble methods requiring post-hoc calibration.