A STAR-inspired gated neural network shows small short-horizon RMSE gains on PJM hourly load data, but the claimed advantage over STAR itself is never tested.
Deep State Space Recurrent Neural Networks for Time Series Forecasting
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abstract
We explore various neural network architectures for modeling the dynamics of the cryptocurrency market. Traditional linear models often fall short in accurately capturing the unique and complex dynamics of this market. In contrast, Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) have demonstrated considerable proficiency in time series forecasting. This papers introduces novel neural network framework that blend the principles of econometric state space models with the dynamic capabilities of Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs). We propose state space models using Long Short Term Memory (LSTM), Gated Residual Units (GRU) and Temporal Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks (TKANs). According to the results, TKANs, inspired by Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks (KANs) and LSTM, demonstrate promising outcomes.
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STAN: Smooth Transition Autoregressive Networks
A STAR-inspired gated neural network shows small short-horizon RMSE gains on PJM hourly load data, but the claimed advantage over STAR itself is never tested.