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Von Toussaint, Bayesian inference in physics, Reviews of Modern Physics 83 (2011) 943–999

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Sequential Bayesian inference with correlated heavy-ion datasets

nucl-th · 2026-05-18 · unverdicted · novelty 5.0

Factorized sequential Bayesian updates on correlated pseudo-data produce systematic deviations from the joint posterior that increase with correlation strength, while exact conditional-likelihood updates match the joint result; an information decomposition attributes the mismatch to parameter-tuned,

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