A Mechanistic Seasonal Dengue Transmission model calibrated on recent Ahmedabad data reveals spatial hotspots, forecasts continued endemic circulation through 2028, and shows that sustained residual spraying can reduce incidence by over 80 percent while periodic fogging has cumulative effects.
Mod- elling the dynamics of dengue real epidemics
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M-SDT: A modelling framework for dengue transmission, forecasting, and intervention strategies in Ahmedabad Municipal Corporation
A Mechanistic Seasonal Dengue Transmission model calibrated on recent Ahmedabad data reveals spatial hotspots, forecasts continued endemic circulation through 2028, and shows that sustained residual spraying can reduce incidence by over 80 percent while periodic fogging has cumulative effects.