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By Assumption 3 andp ′ 0 < p ′′ 0, we must have Γ˜u(p′ 0, p1)≥Γ˜u(p ′′ 0, p1)>0

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An Axiomatic Foundation for Decisions with Counterfactual Utility

econ.TH · 2026-05-06 · unverdicted · novelty 7.0

Expected counterfactual utility satisfies the vNM axioms on the space of all potential outcomes, yielding a coherent preference representation that reconciles the Russian roulette inconsistency and the Allais paradox.

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  • An Axiomatic Foundation for Decisions with Counterfactual Utility econ.TH · 2026-05-06 · unverdicted · none · ref 8

    Expected counterfactual utility satisfies the vNM axioms on the space of all potential outcomes, yielding a coherent preference representation that reconciles the Russian roulette inconsistency and the Allais paradox.