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Assumption 2 (Bounded Means)There existL < Usuch thatp d ∈I:= [L, U]ford∈ {0,1}

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2026 1

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An Axiomatic Foundation for Decisions with Counterfactual Utility

econ.TH · 2026-05-06 · unverdicted · novelty 7.0

Expected counterfactual utility satisfies the vNM axioms on the space of all potential outcomes, yielding a coherent preference representation that reconciles the Russian roulette inconsistency and the Allais paradox.

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  • An Axiomatic Foundation for Decisions with Counterfactual Utility econ.TH · 2026-05-06 · unverdicted · none · ref 2

    Expected counterfactual utility satisfies the vNM axioms on the space of all potential outcomes, yielding a coherent preference representation that reconciles the Russian roulette inconsistency and the Allais paradox.