Experimentally derived mosquito extrinsic incubation period distributions delay and flatten dengue epidemic peaks, reduce peak intensity, and slightly prolong crisis duration compared to exponential assumptions, while leaving outbreak probability largely unchanged.
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From lab to outbreak: experimental mosquito extrinsic incubation period distributions shape dengue epidemic dynamics
Experimentally derived mosquito extrinsic incubation period distributions delay and flatten dengue epidemic peaks, reduce peak intensity, and slightly prolong crisis duration compared to exponential assumptions, while leaving outbreak probability largely unchanged.