A 1825 storm created a new sea connection in Denmark, producing a 27 percent population increase (elasticity 1.6 to market access) driven by fertility and occupational change toward fishing and manufacturing, with symmetric medieval declines after waterway closure.
Journal of Political Economy 99(3), pp
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Statistical model checking reproduces key stylized facts of the Island Model with confidence intervals, confirms moderate exploration rates are optimal, and enables counterfactual sensitivity analysis across parameters.
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A Perfect Storm: First-Nature Geography and Economic Development
A 1825 storm created a new sea connection in Denmark, producing a 27 percent population increase (elasticity 1.6 to market access) driven by fertility and occupational change toward fishing and manufacturing, with symmetric medieval declines after waterway closure.
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Statistical Model Checking of the Island Model: An Established Economic Agent-Based Model of Endogenous Growth
Statistical model checking reproduces key stylized facts of the Island Model with confidence intervals, confirms moderate exploration rates are optimal, and enables counterfactual sensitivity analysis across parameters.