A network-effects model predicts that rising sanction risk can trigger sudden, nonlinear migration from SWIFT-like systems to alternatives such as CIPS and CBDCs.
Financial Sanctions, SWIFT, and the Architecture of the International Payment System,
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Geopolitical Tensions and Financial Networks: Strategic Shifts Toward Alternatives
A network-effects model predicts that rising sanction risk can trigger sudden, nonlinear migration from SWIFT-like systems to alternatives such as CIPS and CBDCs.