Pith. sign in

Forking paths in neural text generation

3 Pith papers cite this work. Polarity classification is still indexing.

3 Pith papers citing it
abstract

Estimating uncertainty in Large Language Models (LLMs) is important for properly evaluating LLMs, and ensuring safety for users. However, prior approaches to uncertainty estimation focus on the final answer in generated text, ignoring intermediate steps that might dramatically impact the outcome. We hypothesize that there exist key forking tokens, such that re-sampling the system at those specific tokens, but not others, leads to very different outcomes. To test this empirically, we develop a novel approach to representing uncertainty dynamics across individual tokens of text generation, and applying statistical models to test our hypothesis. Our approach is highly flexible: it can be applied to any dataset and any LLM, without fine tuning or accessing model weights. We use our method to analyze LLM responses on 7 different tasks across 4 domains, spanning a wide range of typical use cases. We find many examples of forking tokens, including surprising ones such as punctuation marks, suggesting that LLMs are often just a single token away from saying something very different.

citation-role summary

background 1

citation-polarity summary

years

2026 2 2025 1

roles

background 1

polarities

background 1

representative citing papers

Rethinking On-Policy Self-Distillation for Thinking Models

cs.AI · 2026-07-06 · conditional · novelty 7.0

Privileged-context on-policy self-distillation degrades thinking models' long-budget accuracy by suppressing forking and self-correction behaviors, while helping instruction-tuned models.

Thought Branches: Interpreting LLM Reasoning Requires Resampling

cs.LG · 2025-10-31 · unverdicted · novelty 7.0

Resampling subsequent text in chain-of-thought traces enables causal analysis of partial reasoning steps in LLMs, showing limited causal impact from self-preservation statements and advantages of on-policy interventions over off-policy edits.

citing papers explorer

Showing 3 of 3 citing papers.