Using the largest observed earthquake, the paper shows the corner magnitude of the global seismic-moment distribution can be constrained within about 80 years, not the 200,000 years claimed in 2013.
Why is Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis (PSHA) still used? Phys Earth Planet Int
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Time window to constrain the corner value of the global seismic-moment distribution
Using the largest observed earthquake, the paper shows the corner magnitude of the global seismic-moment distribution can be constrained within about 80 years, not the 200,000 years claimed in 2013.