Pith. sign in

What Counterfactuals Can Be Tested

1 Pith paper cite this work. Polarity classification is still indexing.

1 Pith paper citing it
abstract

Counterfactual statements, e.g., "my headache would be gone had I taken an aspirin" are central to scientific discourse, and are formally interpreted as statements derived from "alternative worlds". However, since they invoke hypothetical states of affairs, often incompatible with what is actually known or observed, testing counterfactuals is fraught with conceptual and practical difficulties. In this paper, we provide a complete characterization of "testable counterfactuals," namely, counterfactual statements whose probabilities can be inferred from physical experiments. We provide complete procedures for discerning whether a given counterfactual is testable and, if so, expressing its probability in terms of experimental data.

fields

cs.AI 1

years

2025 1

verdicts

CONDITIONAL 1

representative citing papers

Causal identification with $Y_0$

cs.AI · 2025-08-05 · conditional · novelty 6.0

Y0 is an open-source Python package implementing a broad suite of causal identification algorithms with a domain-specific language for queries and estimands.

citing papers explorer

Showing 1 of 1 citing paper.

  • Causal identification with $Y_0$ cs.AI · 2025-08-05 · conditional · none · ref 28 · internal anchor

    Y0 is an open-source Python package implementing a broad suite of causal identification algorithms with a domain-specific language for queries and estimands.