A residual-guided, coarse-to-fine inference wrapper consistently improves frozen time-series foundation models for monthly drought-index forecasting, cutting one-month-ahead MSE by up to 18.9%.
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Residual-Guided Multi-Resolution Refinement of Foundation Models: A Case Study in Drought Forecasting
A residual-guided, coarse-to-fine inference wrapper consistently improves frozen time-series foundation models for monthly drought-index forecasting, cutting one-month-ahead MSE by up to 18.9%.