Frontier LLMs complete 95–98% of tested Wikipedia facts when given their original source context, but directly answer only about two-thirds to three-quarters of plain questions about those same facts — recall, not storage, is the reported bottleneck.
Supposedly Equivalent Facts That Aren't? Entity Frequency in Pre-training Induces Asymmetry in LLMs
1 Pith paper cite this work. Polarity classification is still indexing.
abstract
Understanding and mitigating hallucinations in Large Language Models (LLMs) is crucial for ensuring reliable content generation. While previous research has primarily focused on "when" LLMs hallucinate, our work explains "why" and directly links model behaviour to the pre-training data that forms their prior knowledge. Specifically, we demonstrate that an asymmetry exists in the recognition of logically equivalent facts, which can be attributed to frequency discrepancies of entities appearing as subjects versus objects. Given that most pre-training datasets are inaccessible, we leverage the fully open-source OLMo series by indexing its Dolma dataset to estimate entity frequencies. Using relational facts (represented as triples) from Wikidata5M, we construct probing datasets to isolate this effect. Our experiments reveal that facts with a high-frequency subject and a low-frequency object are better recognised than their inverse, despite their logical equivalence. The pattern reverses in low-to-high frequency settings, and no statistically significant asymmetry emerges when both entities are high-frequency. These findings highlight the influential role of pre-training data in shaping model predictions and provide insights for inferring the characteristics of pre-training data in closed or partially closed LLMs.
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Empty Shelves or Lost Keys? Recall Is the Bottleneck for Parametric Factuality
Frontier LLMs complete 95–98% of tested Wikipedia facts when given their original source context, but directly answer only about two-thirds to three-quarters of plain questions about those same facts — recall, not storage, is the reported bottleneck.