Agentic AI evaluation validity is bounded by the product of task-generation, simulator, and judge reliability, leaving most current automated benchmarks with less than 30% valid signal.
Cohen, A coefficient of agreement for nominal scales, Educa- tional and Psychological Measurement 20 (1960) 37–46
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Measurement Without Validity: The Compounding Reliability Problem in Agentic AI Evaluation
Agentic AI evaluation validity is bounded by the product of task-generation, simulator, and judge reliability, leaving most current automated benchmarks with less than 30% valid signal.