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Adrian, T · 2022

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econ.EM 1

years

2025 1

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CONDITIONAL 1

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Scenario Synthesis and Macroeconomic Risk

econ.EM · 2025-05-08 · conditional · novelty 6.0

A Bayesian method that weights judgmental scenarios by how well they reproduce a statistical reference forecast distribution, using expected misclassification rates.

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  • Scenario Synthesis and Macroeconomic Risk econ.EM · 2025-05-08 · conditional · none · ref 6

    A Bayesian method that weights judgmental scenarios by how well they reproduce a statistical reference forecast distribution, using expected misclassification rates.