The paper fits a three-parameter logistic-style calibration curve via an exponential squared-error objective and uses it to estimate true calibration error, claiming better sample efficiency and consistency.
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Combining Priors with Experience: Confidence Calibration Based on Binomial Process Modeling
The paper fits a three-parameter logistic-style calibration curve via an exponential squared-error objective and uses it to estimate true calibration error, claiming better sample efficiency and consistency.