TimesFM achieved the lowest MSE on 13 of 15 US state-race population forecast tasks, but the paper fine-tuned it for 50 epochs per state despite claiming no task-specific fine-tuning.
In-context fine- tuning for time-series foundation models
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Comparative Analysis of Time Series Foundation Models for Demographic Forecasting: Enhancing Predictive Accuracy in US Population Dynamics
TimesFM achieved the lowest MSE on 13 of 15 US state-race population forecast tasks, but the paper fine-tuned it for 50 epochs per state despite claiming no task-specific fine-tuning.