Residual ECS spread in CMIP6, unexplained by the Cox fluctuation statistic, is significantly aligned with a finite CO2 response coordinate, yielding a 3.00 K HadCRUT5 conditional ECS estimate.
Hasselmann, Stochastic climate models
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Finite-Response Complementarity in Fluctuation Constraints on Climate Sensitivity
Residual ECS spread in CMIP6, unexplained by the Cox fluctuation statistic, is significantly aligned with a finite CO2 response coordinate, yielding a 3.00 K HadCRUT5 conditional ECS estimate.