Simulation-based inference with a Gaussian process emulator trained on ~1300 POSSIS simulations enables rapid, robust kilonova parameter estimation that avoids MCMC biases from likelihood misspecification.
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LCO achieved rapid response and adequate depth for kilonovae to 250 Mpc in O3/O4 but the galaxy-targeted strategy was less efficient than expected because GW localizations exceeded prior assumptions.
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Rapid and robust simulation-based inference for kilonovae
Simulation-based inference with a Gaussian process emulator trained on ~1300 POSSIS simulations enables rapid, robust kilonova parameter estimation that avoids MCMC biases from likelihood misspecification.
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Las Cumbres Observatory Gravitational-Wave Follow-up in O3 and O4: Strengths and Weaknesses of a Rapid Response Galaxy Targeted Strategy
LCO achieved rapid response and adequate depth for kilonovae to 250 Mpc in O3/O4 but the galaxy-targeted strategy was less efficient than expected because GW localizations exceeded prior assumptions.