A nowcasting method computes exceedance probabilities for large local earthquakes from counts of smaller events in surrounding ensembles, validated with ROC curves against UCERF3 forecasts for California sites.
and Mehta, A., 2018
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Exceedance Probabilities for Large Earthquakes From DIY Local Earthquake Ensemble Nowcasting and Forecasting
A nowcasting method computes exceedance probabilities for large local earthquakes from counts of smaller events in surrounding ensembles, validated with ROC curves against UCERF3 forecasts for California sites.