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Does Unsupervised Domain Adaptation Improve the Robustness of Amortized Bayesian Inference? A Systematic Evaluation

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abstract

Neural networks are fragile when confronted with data that significantly deviates from their training distribution. This is true in particular for simulation-based inference methods, such as neural amortized Bayesian inference (ABI), where models trained on simulated data are deployed on noisy real-world observations. Recent robust approaches employ unsupervised domain adaptation (UDA) to match the embedding spaces of simulated and observed data. However, the lack of comprehensive evaluations across different domain mismatches raises concerns about the reliability in high-stakes applications. We address this gap by systematically testing UDA approaches across a wide range of misspecification scenarios in silico and practice. We demonstrate that aligning summary spaces between domains effectively mitigates the impact of unmodeled phenomena or noise. However, the same alignment mechanism can lead to failures under prior misspecifications - a critical finding with practical consequences. Our results underscore the need for careful consideration of misspecification types when using UDA to increase the robustness of ABI.

fields

stat.ML 1

years

2025 1

verdicts

CONDITIONAL 1

representative citing papers

Diffusion Models in Simulation-Based Inference: A Tutorial Review

stat.ML · 2025-12-22 · conditional · novelty 5.0

Design choices — noise schedule, parameterization, sampler, and model family — measurably change posterior accuracy in diffusion-based SBI; variance-preserving EDM diffusion with adaptive solvers leads on low-dimensional problems, flow matching is competitive on high-dimensional ones.

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  • Diffusion Models in Simulation-Based Inference: A Tutorial Review stat.ML · 2025-12-22 · conditional · none · ref 3 · internal anchor

    Design choices — noise schedule, parameterization, sampler, and model family — measurably change posterior accuracy in diffusion-based SBI; variance-preserving EDM diffusion with adaptive solvers leads on low-dimensional problems, flow matching is competitive on high-dimensional ones.