Using random forests versus Kolmogorov-Arnold networks for nuisance functions in a distributional IV estimator can reverse the estimated effect curve, so model choice is a substantive decision.
KANITE: Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks for ITE estimation
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abstract
We introduce KANITE, a framework leveraging Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks (KANs) for Individual Treatment Effect (ITE) estimation under multiple treatments setting in causal inference. By utilizing KAN's unique abilities to learn univariate activation functions as opposed to learning linear weights by Multi-Layer Perceptrons (MLPs), we improve the estimates of ITEs. The KANITE framework comprises two key architectures: 1.Integral Probability Metric (IPM) architecture: This employs an IPM loss in a specialized manner to effectively align towards ITE estimation across multiple treatments. 2. Entropy Balancing (EB) architecture: This uses weights for samples that are learned by optimizing entropy subject to balancing the covariates across treatment groups. Extensive evaluations on benchmark datasets demonstrate that KANITE outperforms state-of-the-art algorithms in both $\epsilon_{\text{PEHE}}$ and $\epsilon_{\text{ATE}}$ metrics. Our experiments highlight the advantages of KANITE in achieving improved causal estimates, emphasizing the potential of KANs to advance causal inference methodologies across diverse application areas.
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Model Risk in Machine-Learning Distributional IV Estimation
Using random forests versus Kolmogorov-Arnold networks for nuisance functions in a distributional IV estimator can reverse the estimated effect curve, so model choice is a substantive decision.