Linear probes on intermediate LLM activations produce better-calibrated confidence than verbalized probabilities, detect hidden evidence influence, and reveal that forecasts are largely pre-committed before reasoning begins.
Then the value of log2(x4y3z2) is m n wheremandnare relatively prime positive integers
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What LLM Forecasters Know but Don't Say: Probing Internal Representations for Calibration and Faithfulness
Linear probes on intermediate LLM activations produce better-calibrated confidence than verbalized probabilities, detect hidden evidence influence, and reveal that forecasts are largely pre-committed before reasoning begins.