Biomass burning aerosols produce -2.5 W m^{-2} regional shortwave cooling over the South-East Atlantic, decomposed equally into ARI, ARI adjustments, and ACI after causal removal of confounding biases.
ERA5 hourly data on pressure levels from 1959 to present
2 Pith papers cite this work. Polarity classification is still indexing.
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Stratospheric polar vortex predictability is multimodal, with short-term forecasts dominated by persistence of the leading state and extended forecasts arising from higher-order stratospheric structures plus tropospheric variability.
citing papers explorer
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Dissipating the correlation smokescreen: Causal decomposition of the radiative effects of biomass burning aerosols over the South-East Atlantic
Biomass burning aerosols produce -2.5 W m^{-2} regional shortwave cooling over the South-East Atlantic, decomposed equally into ARI, ARI adjustments, and ACI after causal removal of confounding biases.
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State-resolved multimodal contributions to stratospheric polar vortex predictability
Stratospheric polar vortex predictability is multimodal, with short-term forecasts dominated by persistence of the leading state and extended forecasts arising from higher-order stratospheric structures plus tropospheric variability.