Prediction market inventories for Africa and Latin America topics are shaped more by settlement legibility than by public salience, with sports and elections favored over conflicts.
Constructing a Market, Performing Theory: The Historical Sociology of a Financial Derivatives Exchange
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What Prediction Markets Can See: Market Formation, Settlement Legibility, and the Geography of Tradable Uncertainty in Africa and Latin America
Prediction market inventories for Africa and Latin America topics are shaped more by settlement legibility than by public salience, with sports and elections favored over conflicts.