pith. sign in

In this caseϕ 1(p1)−ϕ 0(p0) =p 1 −(U+ 1)<0 for allp 1 ∈I

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econ.TH 1

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2026 1

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An Axiomatic Foundation for Decisions with Counterfactual Utility

econ.TH · 2026-05-06 · unverdicted · novelty 7.0

Expected counterfactual utility satisfies the vNM axioms on the space of all potential outcomes, yielding a coherent preference representation that reconciles the Russian roulette inconsistency and the Allais paradox.

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  • An Axiomatic Foundation for Decisions with Counterfactual Utility econ.TH · 2026-05-06 · unverdicted · none · ref 13

    Expected counterfactual utility satisfies the vNM axioms on the space of all potential outcomes, yielding a coherent preference representation that reconciles the Russian roulette inconsistency and the Allais paradox.