Only two of seven LLMs produce positive returns on live Polymarket data, with MiMo-V2-Flash at 17.6% CWR and Gemini-3-Flash at 6.2% CWR while the other five lose money.
Science320(5878), 877–878 (2008) PolyBench: LLM Forecasting and Trading on Prediction Markets 15
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PolyBench: Benchmarking LLM Forecasting and Trading Capabilities on Live Prediction Market Data
Only two of seven LLMs produce positive returns on live Polymarket data, with MiMo-V2-Flash at 17.6% CWR and Gemini-3-Flash at 6.2% CWR while the other five lose money.