Combining HiRA neighborhood verification with threshold-weighted CRPS shows that AI-vs-NWP rankings for extreme precipitation depend strongly on neighborhood size.
Evaluation of point forecasts for extreme events using consistent scoring functions
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Evaluating Extreme Precipitation Forecasts: A Threshold-Weighted, Spatial Verification Approach for Comparing an AI Weather Prediction Model Against a High-Resolution NWP Model
Combining HiRA neighborhood verification with threshold-weighted CRPS shows that AI-vs-NWP rankings for extreme precipitation depend strongly on neighborhood size.