A multi-logistic curve fit to historical AI milestones predicts the current AI wave peaks around 2024 and fades by 2035 to 2040, making an imminent singularity unlikely.
Moor, The dartmouth college artificial intelligence conference: The next fifty years, Ai Magazine 27 (2006) 87–87
1 Pith paper cite this work. Polarity classification is still indexing.
1
Pith paper citing it
citation-role summary
background 1
citation-polarity summary
fields
physics.soc-ph 1years
2025 1verdicts
REJECT 1roles
background 1polarities
background 1representative citing papers
citing papers explorer
-
Will the Technological Singularity Come Soon? Modeling the Dynamics of Artificial Intelligence Development via Multi-Logistic Growth Process
A multi-logistic curve fit to historical AI milestones predicts the current AI wave peaks around 2024 and fades by 2035 to 2040, making an imminent singularity unlikely.