Derives the final size distribution for SIR epidemics in finite populations with arbitrary offspring distributions and applies it to parameter inference from multiple small populations.
The signature fea- tures of influenza pandemics—implications for policy.New England Journal of Medicine, 360(25):2595–2598
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Distribution of outbreak sizes for SIR disease in finite populations
Derives the final size distribution for SIR epidemics in finite populations with arbitrary offspring distributions and applies it to parameter inference from multiple small populations.