Societal complexity follows a logistic trajectory that is cresting, with the rate of transformative events fitting the derivative of a logistic curve and matching slowing global population growth.
Gell-Mann, The Quark and the Jaguar: Adventures in the Simple and the Complex (Henry Holt, New York, 1994)
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The Rise and Possible Decline of Societal Complexity
Societal complexity follows a logistic trajectory that is cresting, with the rate of transformative events fitting the derivative of a logistic curve and matching slowing global population growth.