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Interpretable Sensitivity Analysis for Balancing Weights

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abstract

Assessing sensitivity to unmeasured confounding is an important step in observational studies, which typically estimate effects under the assumption that all confounders are measured. In this paper, we develop a sensitivity analysis framework for balancing weights estimators, an increasingly popular approach that solves an optimization problem to obtain weights that directly minimizes covariate imbalance. In particular, we adapt a sensitivity analysis framework using the percentile bootstrap for a broad class of balancing weights estimators. We prove that the percentile bootstrap procedure can, with only minor modifications, yield valid confidence intervals for causal effects under restrictions on the level of unmeasured confounding. We also propose an amplification to allow for interpretable sensitivity parameters in the balancing weights framework. We illustrate our method through extensive real data examples.

fields

stat.ME 1

years

2025 1

verdicts

CONDITIONAL 1

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  • Sensitivity of weighted least squares estimators to omitted variables stat.ME · 2025-08-04 · conditional · none · ref 866 · internal anchor

    The bias of a weighted regression estimate due to an omitted confounder is exactly a function of two weighted partial R-squared values, yielding simple sensitivity statistics for IPW, matching, and balancing weights.