A hierarchical Bayesian formulation of the Intelligent Driver Model, implemented with TensorFlow Probability and Edward2, calibrates per-driver parameters and outperforms pooled, individual, and genetic-algorithm baselines on in-sample error metrics.
Improving the efficacy of car-following models with a new stochastic parameter estimation and calibration method,
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Strengthening the Case for a Bayesian Approach to Car-following Model Calibration and Validation using Probabilistic Programming
A hierarchical Bayesian formulation of the Intelligent Driver Model, implemented with TensorFlow Probability and Edward2, calibrates per-driver parameters and outperforms pooled, individual, and genetic-algorithm baselines on in-sample error metrics.