CROC constructs finite-sample valid confidence sets for the root-cause index in multi-stream change detection using conformal p-values under independence and exchangeability assumptions.
Journal of Machine Learning Research , volume=
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JECS aggregates per-model conformal p-values via their maximum and reconstructs a conservative envelope of the max-p null distribution to select benchmarks with global contamination rate control.
Derives simultaneous high-probability upper bounds on realized FDP for conformal p-values that hold for arbitrary post-hoc thresholds via an envelope on the null empirical distribution function.
Risk-controlled post-processing yields a threshold-structured policy that follows the baseline except where an oracle fallback sharply reduces conditional violation risk, achieving O(log n/n) expected excess risk in i.i.d. settings and exact risk control under exchangeability.
Trimming helps conformal prediction under contamination precisely when the anomaly score separates retention probabilities without biasing clean scores, otherwise the retained mixture coefficient prevents substantial decontamination.
Introduces policy-coupled coverage for conformal prediction in counterfactual decisions and the PC-RACP procedure that achieves higher utility with finite-sample coverage guarantees.
citing papers explorer
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Distribution-free root cause analysis
CROC constructs finite-sample valid confidence sets for the root-cause index in multi-stream change detection using conformal p-values under independence and exchangeability assumptions.
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Provable Joint Decontamination for Benchmarking Multiple Large Language Models
JECS aggregates per-model conformal p-values via their maximum and reconstructs a conservative envelope of the max-p null distribution to select benchmarks with global contamination rate control.
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Everywhere Valid Bounds on False Discovery Proportions in Conformal Inference
Derives simultaneous high-probability upper bounds on realized FDP for conformal p-values that hold for arbitrary post-hoc thresholds via an envelope on the null empirical distribution function.
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Risk-Controlled Post-Processing of Decision Policies
Risk-controlled post-processing yields a threshold-structured policy that follows the baseline except where an oracle fallback sharply reduces conditional violation risk, achieving O(log n/n) expected excess risk in i.i.d. settings and exact risk control under exchangeability.
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When Does Trimming Help Conformal Prediction? A Retained-Law Diagnostic under Calibration Contamination
Trimming helps conformal prediction under contamination precisely when the anomaly score separates retention probabilities without biasing clean scores, otherwise the retained mixture coefficient prevents substantial decontamination.
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Prediction Sets for Counterfactual Decisions: Coverage, Optimality, and Conformal Prediction
Introduces policy-coupled coverage for conformal prediction in counterfactual decisions and the PC-RACP procedure that achieves higher utility with finite-sample coverage guarantees.