A temporal classifier predicts civil case outcomes at AUC 0.74-0.81 and shows that case complexity (entropy of predictions) rises over time while settlement rates peak at intermediate uncertainty levels.
Shavell, Foundations of Economic Analysis of Law, Harvard University Press, Cambridge, MA
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Predicting civil litigation outcomes and the evolution of case complexity and settlement dynamics
A temporal classifier predicts civil case outcomes at AUC 0.74-0.81 and shows that case complexity (entropy of predictions) rises over time while settlement rates peak at intermediate uncertainty levels.