An online learning rule, based on SQUINT, mixes multiple trajectory predictors and tracks the best expert under distribution shift.
Artificial Constraints and Lipschitz Hints for Unconstrained Online Learning
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abstract
We provide algorithms that guarantee regret $R_T(u)\le \tilde O(G\|u\|^3 + G(\|u\|+1)\sqrt{T})$ or $R_T(u)\le \tilde O(G\|u\|^3T^{1/3} + GT^{1/3}+ G\|u\|\sqrt{T})$ for online convex optimization with $G$-Lipschitz losses for any comparison point $u$ without prior knowledge of either $G$ or $\|u\|$. Previous algorithms dispense with the $O(\|u\|^3)$ term at the expense of knowledge of one or both of these parameters, while a lower bound shows that some additional penalty term over $G\|u\|\sqrt{T}$ is necessary. Previous penalties were exponential while our bounds are polynomial in all quantities. Further, given a known bound $\|u\|\le D$, our same techniques allow us to design algorithms that adapt optimally to the unknown value of $\|u\|$ without requiring knowledge of $G$.
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Online Aggregation of Trajectory Predictors
An online learning rule, based on SQUINT, mixes multiple trajectory predictors and tracks the best expert under distribution shift.