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Sinceϕ 0(p0)≥L−1 for allp 0 ∈I, it follows thatϕ 0(p′ 0)≤ϕ 0(p′′ 0)

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econ.TH 1

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2026 1

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An Axiomatic Foundation for Decisions with Counterfactual Utility

econ.TH · 2026-05-06 · unverdicted · novelty 7.0

Expected counterfactual utility satisfies the vNM axioms on the space of all potential outcomes, yielding a coherent preference representation that reconciles the Russian roulette inconsistency and the Allais paradox.

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  • An Axiomatic Foundation for Decisions with Counterfactual Utility econ.TH · 2026-05-06 · unverdicted · none · ref 5

    Expected counterfactual utility satisfies the vNM axioms on the space of all potential outcomes, yielding a coherent preference representation that reconciles the Russian roulette inconsistency and the Allais paradox.