Fine-tuning Prithvi WxC to predict gravity wave fluxes beats an Attention U-Net baseline on one month of ERA5 validation, including in upper stratospheric levels absent from the pre-training data.
Machine Learning Global Simulation of Nonlocal Gravity Wave Propagation
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abstract
Global climate models typically operate at a grid resolution of hundreds of kilometers and fail to resolve atmospheric mesoscale processes, e.g., clouds, precipitation, and gravity waves (GWs). Model representation of these processes and their sources is essential to the global circulation and planetary energy budget, but subgrid scale contributions from these processes are often only approximately represented in models using parameterizations. These parameterizations are subject to approximations and idealizations, which limit their capability and accuracy. The most drastic of these approximations is the "single-column approximation" which completely neglects the horizontal evolution of these processes, resulting in key biases in current climate models. With a focus on atmospheric GWs, we present the first-ever global simulation of atmospheric GW fluxes using machine learning (ML) models trained on the WINDSET dataset to emulate global GW emulation in the atmosphere, as an alternative to traditional single-column parameterizations. Using an Attention U-Net-based architecture trained on globally resolved GW momentum fluxes, we illustrate the importance and effectiveness of global nonlocality, when simulating GWs using data-driven schemes.
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Finetuning AI Foundation Models to Develop Subgrid-Scale Parameterizations: A Case Study on Atmospheric Gravity Waves
Fine-tuning Prithvi WxC to predict gravity wave fluxes beats an Attention U-Net baseline on one month of ERA5 validation, including in upper stratospheric levels absent from the pre-training data.