Segmentedness is defined as the complement of edge density in the policy graph, with a sampling-based estimator requiring only 97 random node pairs for a 95% confidence interval of width ±0.2 independent of network size.
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Empirical analysis of EU ETS 2010-2020 data shows short-term price predictability at 60% directional accuracy, a concentrated inter-country trading network, and heterogeneous price elasticities of traded quantities with some positive values exceeding unity.
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Segmentedness is defined as the complement of edge density in the policy graph, with a sampling-based estimator requiring only 97 random node pairs for a 95% confidence interval of width ±0.2 independent of network size.
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Understanding Carbon Trade Dynamics: A European Union Emissions Trading System Perspective
Empirical analysis of EU ETS 2010-2020 data shows short-term price predictability at 60% directional accuracy, a concentrated inter-country trading network, and heterogeneous price elasticities of traded quantities with some positive values exceeding unity.