A Bayesian football goal model uses period-specific spike-and-slab priors to adaptively weight how much team attack and defense strengths change over time, improving prediction relative to standard dynamic models.
Title resolution pending
1 Pith paper cite this work. Polarity classification is still indexing.
1
Pith paper citing it
fields
stat.ME 1years
2025 1verdicts
UNVERDICTED 1representative citing papers
citing papers explorer
-
Bayesian weighted discrete-time dynamic models for association football prediction
A Bayesian football goal model uses period-specific spike-and-slab priors to adaptively weight how much team attack and defense strengths change over time, improving prediction relative to standard dynamic models.