Logging the features and relative probability of one unexposed item alongside the exposed item identifies causal effects of content features from stochastic algorithms even with unobserved confounders.
Large-scale Validation of Counterfactual Learning Methods: A Test-Bed
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abstract
The ability to perform effective off-policy learning would revolutionize the process of building better interactive systems, such as search engines and recommendation systems for e-commerce, computational advertising and news. Recent approaches for off-policy evaluation and learning in these settings appear promising. With this paper, we provide real-world data and a standardized test-bed to systematically investigate these algorithms using data from display advertising. In particular, we consider the problem of filling a banner ad with an aggregate of multiple products the user may want to purchase. This paper presents our test-bed, the sanity checks we ran to ensure its validity, and shows results comparing state-of-the-art off-policy learning methods like doubly robust optimization, POEM, and reductions to supervised learning using regression baselines. Our results show experimental evidence that recent off-policy learning methods can improve upon state-of-the-art supervised learning techniques on a large-scale real-world data set.
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Estimating Causal Effects from Data Generated by Stochastic Algorithms
Logging the features and relative probability of one unexposed item alongside the exposed item identifies causal effects of content features from stochastic algorithms even with unobserved confounders.