A sleeping-expert framework, activated by gradient boosted trees, makes an online forecast aggregation more reactive without raising its average error, slightly lowering the 95th percentile of absolute temperature errors.
Stochastic online convex optimization
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Contribution of expert aggregation to temperature prediction part II: Second order bounds with sleeping experts
A sleeping-expert framework, activated by gradient boosted trees, makes an online forecast aggregation more reactive without raising its average error, slightly lowering the 95th percentile of absolute temperature errors.