A diffusion model trained on ERA5 reanalysis downscales global climate data to 0.25° resolution while capturing statistical distributions and extremes.
Regional climate risk assessment from climate models using probabilistic machine learning
4 Pith papers cite this work. Polarity classification is still indexing.
abstract
Effective climate risk assessment is hindered by the resolution gap between coarse global climate models and the fine-scale information needed for regional decisions. We introduce GenFocal, an AI framework that generates statistically accurate, fine-scale weather from coarse climate projections, without requiring paired simulated and observed events during training. GenFocal synthesizes complex and long-lived hazards, such as heat waves and tropical cyclones, even when they are not well represented in the coarse climate projections. It also samples high-impact, rare events more accurately than leading methods. By translating large-scale climate projections into actionable, localized information, GenFocal provides a powerful new paradigm to improve climate adaptation and resilience strategies.
verdicts
UNVERDICTED 4representative citing papers
EnScale emulates high-resolution regional climate model outputs from global circulation models for multiple variables using a two-step generative process with sparse local stochastic layers and energy score optimization, including a temporally consistent variant.
GenFocal uses probabilistic ML to downscale coarse climate projections to fine-scale weather events without paired training data and samples rare high-impact events more accurately than prior methods.
A conditional diffusion model downscales global atmospheric forecasts from 100 km to 30 km resolution while improving probabilistic skill, matching power spectra, and preserving physical relationships.
citing papers explorer
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IPSL-AID: Generative Diffusion Models for Climate Downscaling from Global to Regional Scales
A diffusion model trained on ERA5 reanalysis downscales global climate data to 0.25° resolution while capturing statistical distributions and extremes.
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EnScale: Temporally-consistent multivariate generative downscaling via proper scoring rules
EnScale emulates high-resolution regional climate model outputs from global circulation models for multiple variables using a two-step generative process with sparse local stochastic layers and energy score optimization, including a temporally consistent variant.
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Regional climate risk assessment from climate models using probabilistic machine learning
GenFocal uses probabilistic ML to downscale coarse climate projections to fine-scale weather events without paired training data and samples rare high-impact events more accurately than prior methods.
-
Downscaling weather forecasts from Low- to High-Resolution with Diffusion Models
A conditional diffusion model downscales global atmospheric forecasts from 100 km to 30 km resolution while improving probabilistic skill, matching power spectra, and preserving physical relationships.