ECI adds a smoothed error-quantification term to the online conformal update rule and proves distribution-free long-run coverage bounds, yielding tighter prediction sets on real time-series benchmarks.
The theta model: a decomposition approach to forecasting
1 Pith paper cite this work. Polarity classification is still indexing.
1
Pith paper citing it
fields
stat.ML 1years
2025 1verdicts
CONDITIONAL 1representative citing papers
citing papers explorer
-
Error-quantified Conformal Inference for Time Series
ECI adds a smoothed error-quantification term to the online conformal update rule and proves distribution-free long-run coverage bounds, yielding tighter prediction sets on real time-series benchmarks.