LLMs are unreliable causal reasoners, so they should be limited to non-decisional search support in causal discovery algorithms.
New Rules for Causal Identification with Background Knowledge
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abstract
Identifying causal relations is crucial for a variety of downstream tasks. In additional to observational data, background knowledge (BK), which could be attained from human expertise or experiments, is usually introduced for uncovering causal relations. This raises an open problem that in the presence of latent variables, what causal relations are identifiable from observational data and BK. In this paper, we propose two novel rules for incorporating BK, which offer a new perspective to the open problem. In addition, we show that these rules are applicable in some typical causality tasks, such as determining the set of possible causal effects with observational data. Our rule-based approach enhances the state-of-the-art method by circumventing a process of enumerating block sets that would otherwise take exponential complexity.
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cs.LG 1years
2025 1verdicts
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LLM Cannot Discover Causality, and Should Be Restricted to Non-Decisional Support in Causal Discovery
LLMs are unreliable causal reasoners, so they should be limited to non-decisional search support in causal discovery algorithms.