LLM judges display per-document transitivity violations in 33-67% of cases despite low aggregate rates, while conformal prediction set widths serve as reliable indicators of document-level difficulty with cross-judge agreement.
Tibshirani, Rina Foygel Barber, Emmanuel Cand \`e s, and Aaditya Ramdas
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Diagnosing LLM Judge Reliability: Conformal Prediction Sets and Transitivity Violations
LLM judges display per-document transitivity violations in 33-67% of cases despite low aggregate rates, while conformal prediction set widths serve as reliable indicators of document-level difficulty with cross-judge agreement.