A hierarchical Bayesian formulation of the Intelligent Driver Model, implemented with TensorFlow Probability and Edward2, calibrates per-driver parameters and outperforms pooled, individual, and genetic-algorithm baselines on in-sample error metrics.
Trends of transportation simulation and modeling based on a selection of exploratory advanced research projects: Workshop summary report,
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Strengthening the Case for a Bayesian Approach to Car-following Model Calibration and Validation using Probabilistic Programming
A hierarchical Bayesian formulation of the Intelligent Driver Model, implemented with TensorFlow Probability and Edward2, calibrates per-driver parameters and outperforms pooled, individual, and genetic-algorithm baselines on in-sample error metrics.