Individually calibrated predictors become collectively miscalibrated under Brier-optimal strategic responses with positive belief correlations, but VCG aggregation restores dominant-strategy incentive compatibility and near-optimal performance.
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When Individually Calibrated Models Become Collectively Miscalibrated
Individually calibrated predictors become collectively miscalibrated under Brier-optimal strategic responses with positive belief correlations, but VCG aggregation restores dominant-strategy incentive compatibility and near-optimal performance.